This article contains commentary which reflects the author's opinion
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Sleepy Joe Is Sleep-Walking to the 2020 Nomination
I used to hope Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) would get the 2020 Democrat presidential nomination. He is an avowed socialist who is so far to the left that he has been unable to get enough Democrat support for the nomination. That was also the case in 2016. From the MAGA point of view, he would be a great candidate to run against President Donald Trump because voters in the middle, i.e., those who decide elections, find him too extreme.
I have changed my mind, however. Former Vice President Joe Biden’s campaign, which is mainly operating from his Delaware basement, has turned into a train wreck, and there is zero evidence it’s going to stop. It’s gotten so bad I’ve started regularly posting his gaffes on social media labeling them “Biden gaffe of the day.”
Before serving as Barack Obama’s VP for eight years, Biden, 77, represented Delaware in the U.S. Senate from 1973 to 2009.
I’m not a doctor so I am not going to try and diagnose him. Others can judge if it it possibly might be mental illness, dementia, or another cause, but there appears to be something funny going on. Career politicians at that high level are usually very polished. In general, if they make a gaffe, it is rare, not every few days.
Creepy Joe, Corrupt Joe
Combine that with his creepy groping of women and young girls and the accusations of sexual assault, and the broader electorate is becoming really disturbed. The #MeToo movement is still rather strong, and it’s shown that it will snag Democrats too like Harvey Weinstein and Jeffrey Epstein. Bill Clinton wouldn’t have survived in this environment, considering the horrendous allegations against him from Juanita Broaddrick and Kathleen Willey.
Biden’s alleged maneuvering getting his son a job with a Ukrainian oil company that paid $50,000 a month, even though Hunter Biden had zero experience, is also hurting him. A majority of voters found it inappropriate.
And there’s the little problem of Biden’s plastic surgery. While I don’t judge political candidates based on their appearance, plenty of Americans do. Biden’s face looks odd, and the voters probably don’t t want to look at that every day on TV.
Polling Data is 2016 v2.0
The Drudge Report (which used to post positive articles about Trump, but has turned mainly into an anti-Trump portal) frequently posts scare headlines showing Biden ahead of Trump in polls. But the polls showed Hillary Clinton ahead of Trump in 2016 and they were wrong. As we’ve learned, many of these surveys oversample Democrats instead of including percentages of Democrats and Republicans that reflect their actual numbers.
These polls also tend to survey “registered voters” instead of “likely voters.” Registered voters include those who haven’t showed up at the polls in awhile. That cohort is more likely to lean left and/or not vote in the upcoming election. Even the likely voters category doesn’t cover the correct demographic, since that usually consists of voters who have voted once recently and also oversamples Democrats. What they really should be polling is “likely likely voters,” as one polling firm put it, i.e., those who have voted consistently in recent elections.
Replacements Waiting in the Wings
Democrats are loudly musing about replacing Biden with New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo. Cuomo’s approval ratings are excellent due to his visibility handling the COVID-19 pandemic or least how the mainstream media has presented it. Bernie Sanders is still in the race and has shown some recent momentum. The New Republic, a popular site on the left, ran an article on Friday entitled “Democrats Aren’t Stuck With Joe Biden.”
Biden can drop out. Other candidates who have exited could unsuspend their campaigns or choose to endorse someone else. Right now, it looks like Biden will only win about 45% of the delegates by the end of the primaries. Without a majority, there could be a contested convention, where many of the delegates will be free to vote for whoever they choose.
On March 16, I wrote an article that express concern that Trump will not win reelection due to COVID-19. I wondered at the time about how a significant percentage of those who are jobless would want to vote for him. The Democrats are doing everything they can to blame Trump no matter what he does to handle the pandemic.
Trump Rises During the Pandemic
Trump surprised me, however. He has held press conferences just about every day, which I believe have been effective at getting the message across to the American people that he is doing everything he can. In addition to the massive public-private-sector medical mobilization effort, he sent $1,200 stimulus checks to working Americans (including those who losts their jobs due to COVID-19). He expanded federal unemployment benefits to $600 a week, for which even the self-employed or furloughed are eligible. He provided loans to small businesses, which need not be repaid if they’re used for payroll. All three of those financial efforts were implemented in conjunction with Congress.
The fairer polls out there are showing he a favorable approval rating. Americans are starting to turn their anger toward the Democrat governors who won’t allow businesses to reopen yet.
Can you imagine Biden’s performance in debates with Trump? He makes enough mistakes with a teleprompter. Just think how awful he will be unscripted. No one wants a bumbling leader calling the shots when it comes to deciding the most impactful decisions impacting the country. Americans don’t want a leader who is a laughingstock to the rest of the world.
Democrats, stick with scheduled convention, and stick with a safe “moderate,” the standard-bearer of your party whose turn has come after a lifetime in politics.
Listen to the pundits who tell you it’s too risky to go with someone like Cuomo or someone else. Don’t listen to the naysayers who point out Sleepy Joe Biden’s gaffes; they’re just overly critical haters. Biden’s bloopers are just like Trump’s, no different, and you know better than anyone how horrible Trump’s gaffes are, right?